| Time Horizon | Probability | Likelihood |
|---|---|---|
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Historical percentage of breakdowns resolved by each elapsed time.
| Started | Ended | Duration | Severity | Day/Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 22:26 | 22:46 | 20m | Moderate | 4 17:00 |
| Feb 27, 05:21 | 12:06 | 405m | Major | 4 0:00 |
| Feb 26, 23:16 | 23:26 | 9m | Minor | 3 18:00 |
| Feb 26, 19:02 | 19:16 | 13m | Minor | 3 14:00 |
| Feb 26, 05:13 | 16:31 | 678m | Major | 3 0:00 |
| Feb 25, 05:18 | 23:16 | 1078m | Major | 2 0:00 |
| Feb 24, 22:23 | 22:52 | 29m | Moderate | 1 17:00 |
| Feb 24, 05:39 | 22:12 | 993m | Major | 1 0:00 |
| Feb 24, 05:35 | 22:12 | 997m | Major | 1 0:00 |
| Feb 23, 23:52 | 00:14 | 22m | Moderate | 18:00 |
| Feb 23, 23:50 | 00:11 | 20m | Moderate | 18:00 |
| Feb 23, 23:15 | 23:35 | 20m | Moderate | 18:00 |
| Feb 23, 23:15 | 23:36 | 21m | Moderate | 18:00 |
| Feb 23, 22:15 | 22:35 | 20m | Moderate | 17:00 |
| Feb 23, 22:14 | 22:36 | 21m | Moderate | 17:00 |
| Feb 23, 21:36 | 21:59 | 23m | Moderate | 16:00 |
| Feb 23, 21:35 | 22:00 | 25m | Moderate | 16:00 |
| Feb 23, 20:27 | 21:25 | 57m | Moderate | 15:00 |
| Feb 23, 20:25 | 21:20 | 55m | Moderate | 15:00 |
| Feb 23, 20:05 | 20:20 | 14m | Minor | 15:00 |
| Feb 23, 20:02 | 20:18 | 16m | Moderate | 15:00 |
| Feb 23, 19:00 | 19:20 | 20m | Moderate | 14:00 |
| Feb 23, 18:35 | 18:50 | 15m | Moderate | 13:00 |
| Feb 23, 17:50 | 18:30 | 40m | Moderate | 12:00 |
| Feb 23, 17:25 | 17:45 | 20m | Moderate | 12:00 |
| Feb 23, 16:30 | 16:50 | 20m | Moderate | 11:00 |
| Feb 23, 15:45 | 16:05 | 20m | Moderate | 10:00 |
| Feb 23, 15:20 | 15:40 | 19m | Moderate | 10:00 |
| Feb 23, 05:35 | 12:40 | 425m | Major | 0:00 |
| Feb 22, 05:05 | 13:20 | 494m | Major | 6 0:00 |
| Feb 21, 16:55 | 17:10 | 15m | Moderate | 5 11:00 |
| Feb 21, 16:05 | 16:25 | 19m | Moderate | 5 11:00 |
| Feb 21, 05:40 | 16:00 | 620m | Major | 5 0:00 |
| Feb 20, 21:45 | 22:05 | 20m | Moderate | 4 16:00 |
| Feb 20, 21:20 | 21:25 | 4m | Minor | 4 16:00 |
| Feb 20, 16:45 | 17:05 | 20m | Moderate | 4 11:00 |
| Feb 20, 05:10 | 13:55 | 525m | Major | 4 0:00 |
| Feb 19, 22:15 | 22:35 | 20m | Moderate | 3 17:00 |
| Feb 19, 16:10 | 16:30 | 20m | Moderate | 3 11:00 |
| Feb 19, 05:30 | 12:15 | 405m | Major | 3 0:00 |
| Feb 18, 22:00 | 22:10 | 10m | Minor | 2 17:00 |
| Feb 18, 21:15 | 21:25 | 9m | Minor | 2 16:00 |
| Feb 18, 18:45 | 18:50 | 5m | Minor | 2 13:00 |
| Feb 18, 05:10 | 12:55 | 465m | Major | 2 0:00 |
| Feb 17, 19:40 | 19:50 | 10m | Minor | 1 14:00 |
| Feb 17, 17:30 | 17:40 | 10m | Minor | 1 12:00 |
| Feb 17, 05:25 | 12:45 | 440m | Major | 1 0:00 |
| Feb 17, 00:25 | 00:35 | 9m | Minor | 19:00 |
| Feb 16, 21:00 | 21:30 | 30m | Moderate | 16:00 |
| Feb 16, 20:15 | 20:35 | 20m | Moderate | 15:00 |