| Time Horizon | Probability | Likelihood |
|---|---|---|
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Historical percentage of breakdowns resolved by each elapsed time.
| Started | Ended | Duration | Severity | Day/Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 05:21 | 12:26 | 425m | Major | 4 0:00 |
| Feb 26, 05:13 | 12:38 | 444m | Major | 3 0:00 |
| Feb 25, 05:18 | 12:43 | 444m | Major | 2 0:00 |
| Feb 24, 17:49 | 18:01 | 12m | Minor | 1 12:00 |
| Feb 24, 16:02 | 16:17 | 14m | Minor | 1 11:00 |
| Feb 24, 15:55 | 16:15 | 20m | Moderate | 1 10:00 |
| Feb 24, 15:30 | 15:40 | 9m | Minor | 1 10:00 |
| Feb 24, 15:27 | 15:41 | 14m | Minor | 1 10:00 |
| Feb 24, 15:05 | 15:21 | 16m | Moderate | 1 10:00 |
| Feb 24, 15:00 | 15:20 | 19m | Moderate | 1 10:00 |
| Feb 24, 05:39 | 12:07 | 388m | Major | 1 0:00 |
| Feb 24, 05:35 | 12:05 | 390m | Major | 1 0:00 |
| Feb 23, 23:15 | 23:35 | 20m | Moderate | 18:00 |
| Feb 23, 23:15 | 23:36 | 21m | Moderate | 18:00 |
| Feb 23, 15:20 | 15:35 | 15m | Moderate | 10:00 |
| Feb 23, 05:35 | 12:40 | 425m | Major | 0:00 |
| Feb 22, 05:05 | 12:25 | 439m | Major | 6 0:00 |
| Feb 21, 18:50 | 19:00 | 10m | Minor | 5 13:00 |
| Feb 21, 16:55 | 17:10 | 15m | Moderate | 5 11:00 |
| Feb 21, 05:40 | 12:15 | 395m | Major | 5 0:00 |
| Feb 20, 05:10 | 12:15 | 425m | Major | 4 0:00 |
| Feb 19, 17:15 | 17:25 | 10m | Minor | 3 12:00 |
| Feb 19, 05:30 | 12:30 | 420m | Major | 3 0:00 |
| Feb 18, 18:45 | 18:55 | 10m | Minor | 2 13:00 |
| Feb 18, 16:45 | 17:05 | 20m | Moderate | 2 11:00 |
| Feb 18, 16:10 | 16:35 | 25m | Moderate | 2 11:00 |
| Feb 18, 15:50 | 16:00 | 10m | Minor | 2 10:00 |
| Feb 18, 05:10 | 12:40 | 450m | Major | 2 0:00 |
| Feb 17, 15:50 | 16:15 | 24m | Moderate | 1 10:00 |
| Feb 17, 15:20 | 15:40 | 19m | Moderate | 1 10:00 |
| Feb 17, 05:25 | 12:15 | 410m | Major | 1 0:00 |
| Feb 16, 05:50 | 12:25 | 395m | Major | 0:00 |
| Feb 15, 20:35 | 20:55 | 20m | Moderate | 6 15:00 |
| Feb 15, 20:10 | 20:30 | 20m | Moderate | 6 15:00 |
| Feb 15, 17:15 | 17:35 | 20m | Moderate | 6 12:00 |
| Feb 14, 05:35 | 12:10 | 395m | Major | 5 0:00 |
| Feb 13, 17:15 | 17:20 | 5m | Minor | 4 12:00 |
| Feb 13, 17:15 | 17:20 | 5m | Minor | 4 12:00 |
| Feb 13, 05:40 | 12:25 | 404m | Major | 4 0:00 |
| Feb 12, 22:20 | 22:25 | 5m | Minor | 3 17:00 |
| Feb 12, 05:45 | 12:20 | 395m | Major | 3 0:00 |
| Feb 11, 05:45 | 12:45 | 420m | Major | 2 0:00 |
| Feb 06, 15:17 | 15:47 | 30m | Moderate | 4 10:00 |
| Feb 06, 05:18 | 12:25 | 426m | Major | 4 0:00 |
| Feb 04, 05:15 | 12:35 | 440m | Major | 2 0:00 |
| Feb 03, 16:50 | 16:55 | 5m | Minor | 1 11:00 |
| Feb 03, 16:30 | 16:45 | 14m | Minor | 1 11:00 |
| Feb 03, 16:30 | 16:45 | 14m | Minor | 1 11:00 |
| Feb 03, 15:35 | 16:25 | 50m | Moderate | 1 10:00 |
| Feb 03, 15:35 | 16:25 | 50m | Moderate | 1 10:00 |