| Time Horizon | Probability | Likelihood |
|---|---|---|
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Historical percentage of breakdowns resolved by each elapsed time.
| Started | Ended | Duration | Severity | Day/Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 22:36 | 15:11 | 995m | Major | 4 17:00 |
| Feb 27, 20:51 | 21:06 | 15m | Moderate | 4 15:00 |
| Feb 27, 19:51 | 20:16 | 25m | Moderate | 4 14:00 |
| Feb 27, 18:01 | 18:11 | 10m | Minor | 4 13:00 |
| Feb 27, 16:21 | 16:36 | 14m | Minor | 4 11:00 |
| Feb 26, 20:06 | 14:31 | 1104m | Major | 3 15:00 |
| Feb 26, 18:16 | 18:37 | 20m | Moderate | 3 13:00 |
| Feb 26, 17:51 | 17:56 | 5m | Minor | 3 12:00 |
| Feb 24, 22:23 | 10:28 | 725m | Major | 1 17:00 |
| Feb 23, 22:05 | 15:05 | 1020m | Major | 17:00 |
| Feb 23, 22:01 | 15:05 | 1023m | Major | 17:00 |
| Feb 23, 19:55 | 20:12 | 16m | Moderate | 14:00 |
| Feb 23, 19:55 | 20:10 | 15m | Moderate | 14:00 |
| Feb 22, 22:05 | 15:10 | 1024m | Major | 6 17:00 |
| Feb 22, 21:00 | 21:20 | 20m | Moderate | 6 16:00 |
| Feb 22, 20:20 | 20:35 | 15m | Moderate | 6 15:00 |
| Feb 22, 19:40 | 19:50 | 9m | Minor | 6 14:00 |
| Feb 22, 15:55 | 16:15 | 20m | Moderate | 6 10:00 |
| Feb 21, 23:05 | 15:05 | 960m | Major | 5 18:00 |
| Feb 21, 18:50 | 19:10 | 20m | Moderate | 5 13:00 |
| Feb 21, 16:05 | 16:15 | 9m | Minor | 5 11:00 |
| Feb 20, 22:05 | 15:10 | 1024m | Major | 4 17:00 |
| Feb 20, 20:25 | 20:40 | 15m | Moderate | 4 15:00 |
| Feb 20, 20:05 | 20:15 | 9m | Minor | 4 15:00 |
| Feb 20, 17:40 | 18:10 | 30m | Moderate | 4 12:00 |
| Feb 20, 16:15 | 16:30 | 15m | Moderate | 4 11:00 |
| Feb 19, 21:45 | 15:05 | 1040m | Major | 3 16:00 |
| Feb 19, 16:00 | 16:05 | 5m | Minor | 3 11:00 |
| Feb 18, 22:05 | 15:25 | 1039m | Major | 2 17:00 |
| Feb 18, 17:55 | 18:00 | 5m | Minor | 2 12:00 |
| Feb 17, 22:05 | 15:05 | 1020m | Major | 1 17:00 |
| Feb 17, 18:20 | 18:35 | 15m | Moderate | 1 13:00 |
| Feb 17, 16:45 | 16:55 | 10m | Minor | 1 11:00 |
| Feb 16, 23:05 | 15:05 | 960m | Major | 18:00 |
| Feb 16, 19:00 | 19:05 | 5m | Minor | 14:00 |
| Feb 16, 17:40 | 17:50 | 10m | Minor | 12:00 |
| Feb 16, 15:25 | 15:45 | 19m | Moderate | 10:00 |
| Feb 15, 23:05 | 15:15 | 969m | Major | 6 18:00 |
| Feb 14, 20:40 | 15:05 | 1105m | Major | 5 15:00 |
| Feb 14, 18:30 | 19:45 | 74m | Major | 5 13:00 |
| Feb 13, 22:05 | 15:05 | 1019m | Major | 4 17:00 |
| Feb 13, 15:00 | 15:05 | 5m | Minor | 4 10:00 |
| Feb 12, 22:05 | 15:05 | 1020m | Major | 3 17:00 |
| Feb 12, 17:50 | 18:05 | 15m | Moderate | 3 12:00 |
| Feb 12, 17:50 | 18:05 | 15m | Moderate | 3 12:00 |
| Feb 12, 16:35 | 16:45 | 10m | Minor | 3 11:00 |
| Feb 12, 16:35 | 16:45 | 10m | Minor | 3 11:00 |
| Feb 12, 15:00 | 15:15 | 14m | Minor | 3 10:00 |
| Feb 11, 22:05 | 15:15 | 1029m | Major | 2 17:00 |
| Feb 11, 20:15 | 20:25 | 10m | Minor | 2 15:00 |