| Time Horizon | Probability | Likelihood |
|---|---|---|
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Historical percentage of breakdowns resolved by each elapsed time.
| Started | Ended | Duration | Severity | Day/Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 22:36 | 15:11 | 995m | Major | 4 17:00 |
| Feb 27, 20:31 | 20:46 | 15m | Moderate | 4 15:00 |
| Feb 26, 22:06 | 14:48 | 1001m | Major | 3 17:00 |
| Feb 24, 22:23 | 10:28 | 725m | Major | 1 17:00 |
| Feb 24, 17:49 | 18:19 | 29m | Moderate | 1 12:00 |
| Feb 24, 17:31 | 17:37 | 6m | Minor | 1 12:00 |
| Feb 24, 16:17 | 16:32 | 15m | Moderate | 1 11:00 |
| Feb 24, 16:15 | 16:30 | 14m | Minor | 1 11:00 |
| Feb 24, 15:41 | 16:02 | 20m | Moderate | 1 10:00 |
| Feb 24, 15:40 | 15:55 | 14m | Minor | 1 10:00 |
| Feb 23, 22:05 | 15:05 | 1020m | Major | 17:00 |
| Feb 23, 22:01 | 15:05 | 1023m | Major | 17:00 |
| Feb 23, 20:37 | 20:46 | 8m | Minor | 15:00 |
| Feb 23, 20:35 | 20:45 | 9m | Minor | 15:00 |
| Feb 23, 15:45 | 15:55 | 10m | Minor | 10:00 |
| Feb 23, 15:30 | 15:35 | 5m | Minor | 10:00 |
| Feb 22, 22:05 | 15:10 | 1024m | Major | 6 17:00 |
| Feb 22, 15:55 | 16:15 | 20m | Moderate | 6 10:00 |
| Feb 21, 23:05 | 15:10 | 964m | Major | 5 18:00 |
| Feb 20, 22:05 | 15:05 | 1020m | Major | 4 17:00 |
| Feb 20, 20:30 | 20:40 | 10m | Minor | 4 15:00 |
| Feb 20, 19:10 | 19:20 | 10m | Minor | 4 14:00 |
| Feb 19, 22:05 | 15:05 | 1020m | Major | 3 17:00 |
| Feb 19, 20:20 | 20:30 | 10m | Minor | 3 15:00 |
| Feb 18, 22:05 | 15:10 | 1024m | Major | 2 17:00 |
| Feb 18, 18:45 | 18:50 | 5m | Minor | 2 13:00 |
| Feb 17, 22:05 | 15:05 | 1020m | Major | 1 17:00 |
| Feb 17, 18:35 | 18:45 | 10m | Minor | 1 13:00 |
| Feb 17, 17:45 | 17:55 | 10m | Minor | 1 12:00 |
| Feb 16, 23:05 | 15:20 | 975m | Major | 18:00 |
| Feb 16, 20:45 | 21:00 | 15m | Moderate | 15:00 |
| Feb 15, 23:05 | 15:05 | 960m | Major | 6 18:00 |
| Feb 15, 21:00 | 21:10 | 9m | Minor | 6 16:00 |
| Feb 15, 20:40 | 20:45 | 4m | Minor | 6 15:00 |
| Feb 15, 16:05 | 16:15 | 9m | Minor | 6 11:00 |
| Feb 15, 13:03 | 15:05 | 121m | Major | 6 8:00 |
| Feb 14, 20:15 | 20:30 | 15m | Moderate | 5 15:00 |
| Feb 14, 15:15 | 15:25 | 10m | Minor | 5 10:00 |
| Feb 13, 22:05 | 15:05 | 1019m | Major | 4 17:00 |
| Feb 13, 15:00 | 15:10 | 9m | Minor | 4 10:00 |
| Feb 12, 22:05 | 15:10 | 1024m | Major | 3 17:00 |
| Feb 12, 15:00 | 15:05 | 5m | Minor | 3 10:00 |
| Feb 11, 22:05 | 15:05 | 1020m | Major | 2 17:00 |
| Feb 11, 15:00 | 15:05 | 5m | Minor | 2 10:00 |
| Feb 03, 22:05 | 15:05 | 11099m | Major | 1 17:00 |
| Feb 03, 21:30 | 21:35 | 5m | Minor | 1 16:00 |
| Feb 03, 20:55 | 21:05 | 10m | Minor | 1 15:00 |
| Feb 03, 20:30 | 20:40 | 9m | Minor | 1 15:00 |
| Feb 03, 20:30 | 20:40 | 9m | Minor | 1 15:00 |
| Feb 03, 18:10 | 18:20 | 10m | Minor | 1 13:00 |