| Time Horizon | Probability | Likelihood |
|---|---|---|
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Historical percentage of breakdowns resolved by each elapsed time.
| Started | Ended | Duration | Severity | Day/Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 23:06 | 15:16 | 970m | Major | 4 18:00 |
| Feb 27, 21:56 | 22:11 | 15m | Moderate | 4 16:00 |
| Feb 27, 15:31 | 15:38 | 6m | Minor | 4 10:00 |
| Feb 26, 22:06 | 14:21 | 974m | Major | 3 17:00 |
| Feb 24, 22:23 | 10:28 | 725m | Major | 1 17:00 |
| Feb 24, 19:43 | 20:26 | 43m | Moderate | 1 14:00 |
| Feb 24, 17:20 | 18:01 | 41m | Moderate | 1 12:00 |
| Feb 24, 17:15 | 18:01 | 46m | Moderate | 1 12:00 |
| Feb 24, 16:35 | 16:45 | 9m | Minor | 1 11:00 |
| Feb 24, 16:32 | 16:46 | 13m | Minor | 1 11:00 |
| Feb 23, 22:00 | 15:30 | 1050m | Major | 17:00 |
| Feb 23, 21:59 | 15:27 | 1048m | Major | 16:00 |
| Feb 22, 22:05 | 15:10 | 1024m | Major | 6 17:00 |
| Feb 21, 23:00 | 15:10 | 969m | Major | 5 18:00 |
| Feb 20, 22:05 | 15:10 | 1024m | Major | 4 17:00 |
| Feb 19, 22:05 | 15:20 | 1034m | Major | 3 17:00 |
| Feb 18, 22:05 | 15:10 | 1024m | Major | 2 17:00 |
| Feb 17, 22:05 | 15:05 | 1020m | Major | 1 17:00 |
| Feb 17, 17:25 | 17:50 | 24m | Moderate | 1 12:00 |
| Feb 16, 23:05 | 15:05 | 960m | Major | 18:00 |
| Feb 15, 23:05 | 15:15 | 969m | Major | 6 18:00 |
| Feb 15, 20:45 | 21:05 | 20m | Moderate | 6 15:00 |
| Feb 15, 20:00 | 20:15 | 14m | Minor | 6 15:00 |
| Feb 15, 13:03 | 15:05 | 121m | Major | 6 8:00 |
| Feb 13, 22:05 | 15:05 | 1019m | Major | 4 17:00 |
| Feb 13, 18:45 | 18:55 | 10m | Minor | 4 13:00 |
| Feb 13, 18:45 | 18:55 | 10m | Minor | 4 13:00 |
| Feb 13, 15:00 | 15:15 | 14m | Minor | 4 10:00 |
| Feb 12, 22:05 | 15:15 | 1029m | Major | 3 17:00 |
| Feb 12, 21:30 | 21:40 | 10m | Minor | 3 16:00 |
| Feb 12, 20:35 | 20:45 | 10m | Minor | 3 15:00 |
| Feb 12, 20:35 | 20:45 | 10m | Minor | 3 15:00 |
| Feb 12, 17:20 | 17:35 | 14m | Minor | 3 12:00 |
| Feb 12, 15:00 | 15:15 | 14m | Minor | 3 10:00 |
| Feb 11, 22:05 | 15:15 | 1029m | Major | 2 17:00 |
| Feb 11, 21:05 | 21:20 | 14m | Minor | 2 16:00 |
| Feb 11, 21:05 | 21:20 | 14m | Minor | 2 16:00 |
| Feb 11, 16:40 | 16:50 | 10m | Minor | 2 11:00 |
| Feb 11, 16:40 | 16:50 | 10m | Minor | 2 11:00 |
| Feb 11, 15:00 | 15:05 | 5m | Minor | 2 10:00 |
| Feb 03, 22:05 | 15:05 | 11099m | Major | 1 17:00 |
| Feb 03, 21:30 | 21:45 | 15m | Moderate | 1 16:00 |
| Feb 03, 20:30 | 21:10 | 40m | Moderate | 1 15:00 |
| Feb 03, 19:50 | 20:05 | 15m | Moderate | 1 14:00 |
| Feb 03, 19:00 | 19:15 | 14m | Minor | 1 14:00 |
| Feb 03, 19:00 | 19:15 | 14m | Minor | 1 14:00 |
| Feb 03, 18:15 | 18:25 | 9m | Minor | 1 13:00 |
| Feb 03, 18:15 | 18:25 | 9m | Minor | 1 13:00 |
| Feb 03, 17:20 | 17:35 | 14m | Minor | 1 12:00 |
| Feb 03, 16:40 | 17:05 | 25m | Moderate | 1 11:00 |