| Time Horizon | Probability | Likelihood |
|---|---|---|
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Historical percentage of breakdowns resolved by each elapsed time.
| Started | Ended | Duration | Severity | Day/Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 23:06 | 15:11 | 965m | Major | 4 18:00 |
| Feb 26, 22:06 | 14:06 | 960m | Major | 3 17:00 |
| Feb 26, 20:06 | 20:16 | 9m | Minor | 3 15:00 |
| Feb 24, 22:23 | 10:28 | 725m | Major | 1 17:00 |
| Feb 24, 18:01 | 18:19 | 17m | Moderate | 1 13:00 |
| Feb 23, 22:05 | 15:05 | 1020m | Major | 17:00 |
| Feb 23, 22:01 | 15:06 | 1025m | Major | 17:00 |
| Feb 22, 22:05 | 15:10 | 1024m | Major | 6 17:00 |
| Feb 21, 23:05 | 15:05 | 960m | Major | 5 18:00 |
| Feb 21, 22:05 | 23:00 | 54m | Moderate | 5 17:00 |
| Feb 20, 22:05 | 16:45 | 1119m | Major | 4 17:00 |
| Feb 19, 22:05 | 15:05 | 1020m | Major | 3 17:00 |
| Feb 18, 22:05 | 15:05 | 1020m | Major | 2 17:00 |
| Feb 18, 20:30 | 21:05 | 35m | Moderate | 2 15:00 |
| Feb 17, 22:05 | 15:05 | 1020m | Major | 1 17:00 |
| Feb 16, 23:05 | 15:05 | 960m | Major | 18:00 |
| Feb 15, 23:05 | 15:10 | 964m | Major | 6 18:00 |
| Feb 15, 18:35 | 18:50 | 15m | Moderate | 6 13:00 |
| Feb 15, 13:03 | 15:15 | 131m | Major | 6 8:00 |
| Feb 14, 18:05 | 18:35 | 29m | Moderate | 5 13:00 |
| Feb 13, 22:05 | 15:20 | 1034m | Major | 4 17:00 |
| Feb 13, 15:00 | 15:15 | 14m | Minor | 4 10:00 |
| Feb 12, 22:05 | 15:15 | 1029m | Major | 3 17:00 |
| Feb 12, 15:00 | 15:25 | 24m | Moderate | 3 10:00 |
| Feb 11, 22:05 | 15:25 | 1039m | Major | 2 17:00 |
| Feb 11, 15:00 | 15:05 | 5m | Minor | 2 10:00 |
| Feb 03, 22:05 | 15:05 | 11099m | Major | 1 17:00 |
| Feb 03, 21:20 | 21:45 | 25m | Moderate | 1 16:00 |
| Feb 03, 21:20 | 21:45 | 25m | Moderate | 1 16:00 |
| Feb 03, 15:00 | 15:05 | 5m | Minor | 1 10:00 |
| Feb 02, 22:05 | 15:05 | 1019m | Major | 17:00 |
| Feb 02, 15:45 | 16:10 | 25m | Moderate | 10:00 |
| Feb 02, 15:00 | 15:40 | 39m | Moderate | 10:00 |
| Feb 01, 15:00 | 22:00 | 420m | Major | 6 10:00 |