| Time Horizon | Probability | Likelihood |
|---|---|---|
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Historical percentage of breakdowns resolved by each elapsed time.
| Started | Ended | Duration | Severity | Day/Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 03:36 | 03:51 | 15m | Moderate | 3 19:00 |
| Feb 26, 04:13 | 05:28 | 74m | Major | 2 20:00 |
| Feb 23, 21:10 | 22:35 | 85m | Major | 13:00 |
| Feb 23, 21:07 | 22:35 | 88m | Major | 13:00 |
| Feb 23, 17:50 | 19:20 | 90m | Major | 9:00 |
| Feb 22, 19:55 | 20:45 | 50m | Moderate | 6 11:00 |
| Feb 22, 16:40 | 18:20 | 99m | Major | 6 8:00 |
| Feb 21, 21:50 | 22:40 | 50m | Moderate | 5 13:00 |
| Feb 21, 16:20 | 20:25 | 244m | Major | 5 8:00 |
| Feb 21, 06:15 | 06:50 | 35m | Moderate | 4 22:00 |
| Feb 19, 22:55 | 00:10 | 75m | Major | 3 14:00 |
| Feb 19, 20:15 | 22:25 | 130m | Major | 3 12:00 |
| Feb 19, 04:50 | 06:10 | 80m | Major | 2 20:00 |
| Feb 18, 07:40 | 08:45 | 65m | Major | 1 23:00 |
| Feb 17, 20:45 | 21:55 | 70m | Major | 1 12:00 |
| Feb 17, 17:10 | 18:45 | 95m | Major | 1 9:00 |
| Feb 17, 01:00 | 03:25 | 144m | Major | 17:00 |
| Feb 16, 22:25 | 23:45 | 80m | Major | 14:00 |
| Feb 16, 20:50 | 22:15 | 85m | Major | 12:00 |
| Feb 16, 17:50 | 19:10 | 80m | Major | 9:00 |
| Feb 14, 20:35 | 13:03 | 988m | Major | 5 12:00 |
| Feb 13, 23:40 | 00:05 | 25m | Moderate | 4 15:00 |
| Feb 12, 16:55 | 17:40 | 44m | Moderate | 3 8:00 |
| Feb 12, 16:55 | 17:40 | 44m | Moderate | 3 8:00 |
| Feb 11, 20:55 | 22:30 | 95m | Major | 2 12:00 |
| Feb 11, 19:20 | 20:45 | 85m | Major | 2 11:00 |
| Feb 11, 19:20 | 20:45 | 85m | Major | 2 11:00 |
| Feb 11, 17:40 | 19:05 | 85m | Major | 2 9:00 |
| Feb 11, 17:40 | 19:05 | 85m | Major | 2 9:00 |
| Feb 11, 16:10 | 17:05 | 55m | Moderate | 2 8:00 |
| Feb 11, 07:00 | 08:15 | 74m | Major | 1 23:00 |
| Feb 11, 03:25 | 05:45 | 139m | Major | 1 19:00 |
| Feb 11, 01:56 | 02:50 | 53m | Moderate | 1 17:00 |
| Feb 09, 19:25 | 21:10 | 105m | Major | 11:00 |
| Feb 08, 00:35 | 01:00 | 25m | Moderate | 5 16:00 |
| Feb 07, 02:15 | 03:15 | 60m | Moderate | 4 18:00 |
| Feb 06, 17:01 | 02:50 | 6349m | Major | 4 9:00 |
| Feb 06, 16:55 | 17:55 | 60m | Moderate | 4 8:00 |
| Feb 05, 21:05 | 22:55 | 109m | Major | 3 13:00 |
| Feb 04, 22:50 | 22:55 | 4m | Minor | 2 14:00 |
| Feb 04, 22:05 | 22:55 | 49m | Moderate | 2 14:00 |
| Feb 04, 22:05 | 22:50 | 45m | Moderate | 2 14:00 |
| Feb 04, 17:40 | 17:45 | 4m | Minor | 2 9:00 |
| Feb 04, 16:50 | 17:45 | 55m | Moderate | 2 8:00 |
| Feb 04, 16:50 | 17:40 | 50m | Moderate | 2 8:00 |
| Feb 04, 05:30 | 06:00 | 30m | Moderate | 1 21:00 |
| Feb 02, 21:15 | 22:35 | 80m | Major | 13:00 |
| Feb 02, 21:15 | 22:30 | 75m | Major | 13:00 |
| Feb 02, 01:40 | 01:45 | 4m | Minor | 6 17:00 |
| Feb 02, 01:30 | 01:50 | 19m | Moderate | 6 17:00 |